{"id":5798,"date":"2020-04-30T09:14:31","date_gmt":"2020-04-30T07:14:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/overw8.de\/blog\/target\/the-coronavirus-butterfly-effect-six-predictions-for-a-new-world-order\/"},"modified":"2020-04-30T09:14:31","modified_gmt":"2020-04-30T07:14:31","slug":"the-coronavirus-butterfly-effect-six-predictions-for-a-new-world-order","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/overw8.de\/de\/blog\/the-coronavirus-butterfly-effect-six-predictions-for-a-new-world-order\/","title":{"rendered":"„The coronavirus butterfly effect: Six predictions for a new world order“"},"content":{"rendered":"\r\n

Weniger dazu gedacht, Sie panisch zu machen, vielmehr als Futter f\u00fcr Ihre Szenario Modellierung.<\/p>\r\n

\r\n

In chaos theory, the butterfly effect describes a small change that can have massive, unpredictable consequences. An insect flaps its wings and, weeks later, causes a tornado. The coronavirus is more like an earthquake, with aftershocks that will permanently reshape the world. If we are lucky, the world will […]\r\n<\/blockquote>\r\n

Schon auch gut, bevor man sich die Entwicklung sch\u00f6n redet:<\/p>\r\n

\r\n

If we are lucky, the world will pass \u201cpeak virus\u201d within the next six months. But the economy, governments, and social institutions will take years to recover in the best-case scenario.<\/p>\r\n<\/blockquote>\r\n

Das deckt sich im Prinzip mit den Erfahrungen aus der Nach-SARS Phase in Asien (s. auch unser Artikel zu den Insights von Ogilvy<\/a>).<\/p>\r\n

Nutzen Sie die darin beschriebenen Szenario Elemente um Ihre eigenen Langfrist-Szenarien dagegen zu legen… was, wenn das stimmen w\u00fcrde? Wie k\u00f6nnte man damit umgehen? H\u00e4tte es Einflu\u00df auf das eigene Business – und wenn ja, welchen?<\/p>\r\n

The most optimistic scenario, then, is a revival of regional organizations. The EU has a chance to bring about the fiscal union it needs more than ever, but it remains unclear whether it will take it. Asian countries have just passed a Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) and will need to deepen their internal trade to cope with the global demand shock. North America\u2019s three states already trade more with each other than with China or Europe. Regionalization will be the new globalization.<\/strong><\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n

Klicken Sie hier, um zum Original zu kommen – danke an Parag Khanan und Karan Khenka:
The coronavirus butterfly effect: Six predictions for a new world order<\/a><\/p>\r\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Weniger dazu gedacht, Sie panisch zu machen, vielmehr als Futter f\u00fcr Ihre Szenario Modellierung. In chaos theory, the butterfly effect describes a small change that can have massive, unpredictable consequences. An insect flaps its wings and, weeks later, causes a tornado. The coronavirus is more like an earthquake, with aftershocks that will permanently reshape the…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5799,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_has_post_settings":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[519],"tags":[],"hashtags":[],"class_list":["post-5798","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-corona-lesetipps"],"acf":[],"nelio_content":{"autoShareEndMode":"never","automationSources":{"useCustomSentences":false,"customSentences":[]},"efiAlt":"","efiUrl":"","followers":[],"highlights":[],"isAutoShareEnabled":false,"networkImageIds":[],"permalinkQueryArgs":[],"series":[],"suggestedReferences":[]},"yoast_head":"\n"The coronavirus butterfly effect: Six predictions for a new world order" - OVERW8 Journal<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Weniger dazu gedacht, Sie panisch zu machen, vielmehr als Futter f\u00fcr Ihre Szenario Modellierung. 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